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Norbert Schmitz,G. Duscha,J. Lubbert: Optimal Sequentially Planned Decision Procedures

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Learning from experience, making decisions on the basis of the available information, and proceeding step by step to a desired goal are fundamental behavioural qualities of human beings. Nevertheless, it was not until the early 1940's that such a statistical theory - namely Sequential Analysis - was created, which allows us to investigate this kind of behaviour in a precise manner. A. Wald's famous sequential probability ratio test (SPRT; see example (1.8" turned out to have an enormous influence on the development of this theory. On the one hand, Wald's fundamental monograph "Sequential Analysis" ([Wa]*) is essentially centered around this test. On the other hand, important properties of the SPRT - e.g. Bayes- optimality, minimax-properties, "uniform" optimality with respect to expected sample sizes - gave rise to the development of a general statistical decision theory. As a conse- quence, the SPRT's played a dominating role in the further development of sequential analysis and, more generally, in theoretical statistics.

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Clamp: Kobato: v. 5

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As the seeds of love begin to bloom in Kobato's heart, her attentions are diverted from giving solace to strangers and filling up her magic bottle to finally earn her mysterious wish! Now it seems all Kobato has eyes for is the dour Fujimoto-kun and putting a smile on his face. With this turn of events, Kobato is fighting to save Yomogi Kindergarten more than ever, at the expense of her magic bottle. But as time runs out for her quest, is Kobato unwittingly endangering her wish, her life, and the lives of Ioryogi and his erstwhile allies by choosing to follow her heart?

In this remarkable volume of poetry for two voices, a companion to "I Am Pheonix," Paul Fleischman verbally re-creates the "Booming / boisterous / joyful noise" of insects. The poems resound with the pulse of the cicada and the drone of the honeybee. Eric Beddow's vibrant drawings send each insect soaring, spinning, or creeping off the page in its own unique way.Paul Fleischman has created not only a clear and fascinating guide to the insect world - from chrysalid butterflies to whirligig beetles - but and exultant celebration of life. Exclusive insights from a Kobato: v. 5 download epub celebrated musician and passionate industry insiders, two accompanying CDs of legendary tracks and beautiful packaging make for a book with broad appeal -- one that will captivate fans of Robbie Robertson and music lovers of all ages.

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Gayle Gregory,Martha Kaufeldt: The Motivated Brain: Improving Student Attention, Engagement, and Perseverance

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What really motivates students to learn? What gets them interestedand keeps them interestedin pursuing knowledge and understanding? Recent neuroscientific findings have uncovered the source of our motivation to learn, or as neuroscientist Jaak Panksepp terms it, the drive to seek. Seeking is what gets us out of bed in the morning, the engine that powers our actions, and the need that manifests as curiosity.

Early adversity, scientists have come to understand, not only physically affects children's lives, it can also alter the neurological development of their brains. But now educators and doctors are using that knowledge to develop innovative interventions that allow children to overcome the constraints of poverty. And with the help of these new strategies, as Tough's eye-opening reporting makes clear, even children who grow up in the most painful circumstances can go on to achieve amazing things. This is a provocative and profoundly hopeful book that will change the way you think about raising and educating children. "Meet the operatives of the Carnacki Institute JC Chance: The Motivated Brain: Improving Student Attention, Engagement, and Perseverance download book the team leader, brave, charming, and almost unbearably arrogant; Melody Chambers: the science geek who keeps the antisupernatural equipment running; and Happy Jack Palmer: the terminally gloomy telepath. Their mission: Do Something About Ghosts. Lay them to rest, send them packing, or just kick their nasty ectoplasmic arses

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Sue Kay,Vaughan Jones: New Inside Out Advanced: Work Book + Key with Audio CD

USA TODAY bestselling author Sarah Morgan heats up the season with the O'Neil brothers in a brand-new holiday series! Like the other bestselling DC Super Heroes board books (ABC 123, Colors and Shapes, Opposites, Busy Bodies, My First Book of Super Villains, and My First Book of Girl Power), Even Super Heroes Sleep uses DC's classic art to illustrate fan favorite characters getting ready to re-charge. Batman knows his brain works best after he's gotten a good night's sleep (Goodnight Gotham City!). Green Lantern needs his Power Battery, and Superman's super-strength fizzes out at the end of the day. Budding super heroes will appreciate that they, too need a good night's sleep if they're going to grow big and strong... Combining the latest scholarship with a highly readable style, Kathryn Tempest looks at Cicero the politician and orator, and the private man. On the back of his natural talent for oratory, Cicero set out on the path to a glorious reputation - his earliest speeches brought the name of Cicero out of the shadows and hurled him into the spotlight. Cicero was the first 'new man' in thirty years to reach the consulship; the fact that he managed to do so without bribery or violence makes his success even more remarkable. His year of office witnessed events of such a scale that he was granted the extraordinary honour of the title 'pater patriae' - he was the father of his fatherland. Following the Civil War, and with renewed hopes for the restoration of the Roman Republic, Cicero launched a fierce attack on Mark Antony by delivering a series of New Inside Out Advanced: Work Book + Key with Audio CD pdf speeches that cannot be matched for their vigour. It was these speeches that would be the cause of Cicero's death, and his death was to be as dramatic as his life. Kathryn Tempest's life of Cicero and his times is as engaging as it is informative.

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Gary Chapman,MR Rick Osborne,Jr Wilson Williams: A Perfect Pet for Peyton: 5 Love Languages Discovery Book

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This wonderfully imaginative children's hardcover book by bestselling authors Gary Chapman and Rick Osborne, featuring four-color illustrations (with hidden details!) by Wilson Williams, Jr., will help children learn the importance of love.Based on Gary's highly successful "The 5 Love Languages"(r), "A Perfect Pet for Peyton" tells an entertaining and playful story of five children who each, with the help of Mr. Chapman and the unique pets at his special emporium, discover their own personal love language.Children and parents alike will experience firsthand the power of the love languages as they cuddle up and spend precious time together reading this book over and over again. The cast of child characters in this whimsical story include: Peyton, one of the birthday celebrants, loves to help others, and appreciates it when others do little things for him.Penny, Peyton's twin sister, who receives love best when others spend quality time with her. Jayla, one of Penny's close friends, is always saying nice things about people. Her love language is words of affirmation. Kevin, one of Peyton's close friends, enjoys giving things to people. Sofia loves to pet the animals, and to show her love for others with special hugs.

The ability to effectively create and interpret financial models is one of the most valued skills in corporate finance--from Wall Street to Main Street. Now, the acclaimed guide to designing, building, and implementing valuation projection models is fully revised and expanded to keep finance and accounting professionals competitive in today's marketplace. This second edition of Building Financial Models continues the tradition of its predecessor by providing a hands-on approach to creating a core model that is supported by broad coverage of cornerstone accounting and finance principles. Additionally, this updated volume features: Entirely new coverage of discounted A Perfect Pet for Peyton: 5 Love Languages Discovery Book download book cash flow (DCF) modeling Excel formulas for making powerful calculations within the spreadsheet In-depth explanations of both the principles and mechanics of projection models Building Financial Models helps readers practice good thinking and apply sound knowledge of their tools--two key attributes to producing robust and easy-to-use models. This practical guide takes you step by step through the entire process of developing a projection model, with a full chapter dedicated to each phase.

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Diane Namm,Mike Gordon: My Best Friend

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- Features a word list - Thousands of RLB sold during first release Grades K-4 National Social Studies Standards - Individual Development and Identity: IV - Identify and describe ways families, groups, and communities influence the individual - Explore factors that contribute to identity - Work independently and cooperatively to accomplish goals

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Little Tiger Press: My First Book of Words: 100 First Animals

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With 100 engaging and colourful photographs, this thematically arranged board book is the perfect introduction to the animal kingdom, developing vocabulary and word-picture association in the very young.

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Appreciative Inquiry: A Positive Revolution in Change
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Agatha Christie: The Mysterious Affair at Styles

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An aging heiress, fatally poisoned; the door to her room locked from the inside; and the charred remains of a will in her fireplace are some of the ingredients in this absorbing tale of murder, jealousy, and greed. Agatha Christie's classic introduced Hercule Poirot, the brilliant and amazing Belgian detective.

It is not Nietzsche's intention to reject ascetic ideals, "slave" morality, or internalized values out of hand; his main concern is to show that culture and morality, rather than being eternal verities, are human-made. Whether or not you agree with all of his conclusions, his writing is of such clarity and brilliance that you will find readingThe Genealogy of Morals nothing short of exhilarating. #1 best-selling guide to Nepal* Lonely Planet Nepal is your passport to the most relevant, up-to-date advice on what to see and skip, and what hidden discoveries await you. Soak in the hustle-and-bustle of Kathmandu's Durbar Square, trek to the base of the world's Ted Talks Storytelling: 23 Storytelling Techniques from the Best Ted Talks download epub highest mountain, or raft the rapids of the Bhote Kosi; all with your trusted travel companion. Get to the heart of Nepal and begin your journey now! Inside Lonely Planet Nepal Travel Guide: *Colour maps and images throughout *Highlights and itineraries help you tailor your trip to your personal needs and interests *Insider tips to save time and money and get around like a local, avoiding crowds and trouble spots *Essential info at your fingertips - hours of operation, phone numbers, websites, transit tips, prices *Honest reviews for all budgets - eating, sleeping, sight-seeing, going out, shopping, hidden gems that most guidebooks miss *Cultural insights give you a richer, more rewarding travel experience - history, religion, art, literature, cinema, music, architecture, politics, landscapes, wildlife, environmental issues.

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Akash Karia: Ted Talks Storytelling: 23 Storytelling Techniques from the Best Ted Talks

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"Every speaker can put these ideas into practice immediately -- and they should!" Dr. Richard C. Harris, Certified World Class Speaking Coach "An insightful read" Dennis Waller, Top 500 Reviewer "Superb communication advice" Larry Nocella MASTER THE ONE THING ALL GREAT TED TALKS HAVE IN COMMON What is the secret to delivering a great TED talk? What is the magic ingredient that makes a TED talk captivating? And more importantly, how can you use those secrets to make your presentations more powerful, dynamic and engaging? To try to answer these questions, I studied over 200 of the best TED talks. I broke each TED talk down in terms of structure, message and delivery. Here's what I discovered. After studying over 200 TED talks, the one commonality among all the great TED talks is that they contain stories. UTILIZE ADVANCED STORYTELLING TECHNIQUES TO INJECT LIFE INTO YOUR PRESENTATIONS Essentially, the best speakers on the TED stage were the ones who had mastered the art of storytelling. They had mastered how to craft and present their stories in a way that allowed them to share their message with the world without seeming like they were lecturing their audience. DISCOVER THE 23 STORYTELLING SECRETS OF THE BEST TED TALKS In this short but powerful guide, you're going to learn how to use stories to make your presentations engaging and entertaining. Using case studies drawn from TED talks by Sir Ken Robinson, Dr. Jill Bolte Taylor, Susan Cain, Leslie Morgan Steiner, Mike Rowe and Malcom Gladwell, you'll learn how to craft stories that keep your audience mesmerized. By the time you've finished reading this storytelling manifesto, you will have picked up twenty-three principles on how to create stories that keep your audiences mesmerized. Whether you are giving a TED talk or a corporate presentation, you will be able to apply the principles you pick up in this guide to make your next talk a roaring success! RAVE REVIEWS FROM READERS "No more boring speeches and presentations" Douglas L. Coppock "A crisp and no fluff book" Kam Syed "A great book on storytelling" David Bishop "Excellent book for any speaker" Dean Krosecz

It is not Nietzsche's intention to reject ascetic ideals, "slave" morality, or internalized values out of hand; his main concern is to show that culture and morality, rather than being eternal verities, are human-made. Whether or not you agree with all of his conclusions, his writing is of such clarity and brilliance that you will find readingThe Genealogy of Morals nothing short of exhilarating. #1 best-selling guide to Nepal* Lonely Planet Nepal is your passport to the most relevant, up-to-date advice on what to see and skip, and what hidden discoveries await you. Soak in the hustle-and-bustle of Kathmandu's Durbar Square, trek to the base of the world's Ted Talks Storytelling: 23 Storytelling Techniques from the Best Ted Talks download epub highest mountain, or raft the rapids of the Bhote Kosi; all with your trusted travel companion. Get to the heart of Nepal and begin your journey now! Inside Lonely Planet Nepal Travel Guide: *Colour maps and images throughout *Highlights and itineraries help you tailor your trip to your personal needs and interests *Insider tips to save time and money and get around like a local, avoiding crowds and trouble spots *Essential info at your fingertips - hours of operation, phone numbers, websites, transit tips, prices *Honest reviews for all budgets - eating, sleeping, sight-seeing, going out, shopping, hidden gems that most guidebooks miss *Cultural insights give you a richer, more rewarding travel experience - history, religion, art, literature, cinema, music, architecture, politics, landscapes, wildlife, environmental issues.

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Amber Jane Butchart: The Fashion of Film: How Cinema Has Inspired Fashion

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Karl Lagerfeld drew inspiration from the dystopian vision of Metropolis. The picture-perfect worlds of Wes Anderson's films echo in Miuccia Prada's collections. From historical epics and romantic dramas to sci-fi blockbusters and arthouse cool, the world's most creative fashion designers have long taken their inspiration from screen idols - and continue to do so today. Let fashion historian Amber Butchart take you a journey through the last 100 years of cinema style and its influence on the catwalks, and see how the fashion of film has transformed the world of fashion design. Sumptuously illustrated with photographs of fashion creations and the films that inspired them, The Fashion of Film is a must-have for any fan of style.

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